It is now the 13th of September and we are carefully watching news events. Any synchronous events would probably happen by no later than the 14th or 15th. So at that point we can assess.
Already there are at least two candidates.
What we are looking for are events that happen around the 11th and potentially have a “long tail”, meaning that they mark the beginning of a longer series of events in reaction to what takes place now.
We’ll report back soon.